Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 26, 18:26 UTC31 mars 29, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 60 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed 1% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2028 >= 2200 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2028 < 2200 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 414,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 126,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9 k €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
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- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2029.
- Comment Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.