Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
6 avr. 26, 18:26 UTC31 mars 29, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1800 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 60 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill US Natural Gas Production exceed 3,500,000 million cubic feet in August 2026?
ForecastExWill US Natural Gas Production exceed 3,400,000 million cubic feet in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2028 >= 2200 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2028 < 2200 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
