Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.8%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète16 nov. 24, 04:38 UTC2 janv. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWhich is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill California high-speed rail use Siemens trains?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
High-speed rail is defined as 200+ km/h on upgraded lines or 250+ on new lines.
- Any meaningful amount of high-speed rail built by 2035 means this question resolves YES if tickets are available to the general public.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Canada have high-speed rail by 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Canada have high-speed rail by 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Canada have high-speed rail by 2035? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2035.
- Comment Will Canada have high-speed rail by 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : High-speed rail is defined as 200+ km/h on upgraded lines or 250+ on new lines.