Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard28 août 23, 07:08 UTC5 sept. 50, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRègles
If there is any doubt, one way or the other, I will resolve to my percent confidence.
- Planning on resolving a bit after he dies, just to see if more information comes in.
- Let's say three months after.
- If I am no longer using manifold, the mods can resolve to their percent confidence.
- I will not bet.
- search terms:
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? doit être résolu le 5 septembre 2050.
- Comment Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If there is any doubt, one way or the other, I will resolve to my percent confidence.