Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
One-OffPlateformes d'échangeAdoption3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.3%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
15 nov. 22, 03:55 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Funding prediction market platforms such as Manifold does not count.
- I'm referring to putting money into specific markets, like "provide large subsidies for markets on charity impact to increase the accuracy of their results", or "bet YES on AI doomsday markets to convince people it's a risk worth taking seriously".
- I will also include a grant from an EA-aligned organization to try it out and see whether this is a good use of money.
