Will at least 1,000 people irregularly enter Ceuta from Morocco on 15 August 2026?
One-Off
Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (97.2%)
Résolu: 16 août 2026, 16:19
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète12 août 26, 8:4615 août 26, 22:59
Tendances
97.2%
2.8%
Règles
This market resolves YES if reliable, publicly reported official data state that 1,000 or more people entered Spanish-controlled Ceuta irregularly from Morocco between 00:00 and 23:59 Central European Summer Time (CEST, UTC+2) on Saturday 15 August 2026.
- It resolves NO if fewer than 1,000 such entries are reported for that period, or if no qualifying official report establishes that the threshold was reached.
- “Irregularly enter” means crossing from Morocco into Ceuta without passing normally through a Spanish-authorized border-control procedure.
- It includes entry by sea, beach, breakwater, fence, or land-border breach.
- It excludes people stopped or intercepted before reaching Ceuta, people merely gathering on the Moroccan side, and entries into Melilla or elsewhere.
- The market is about entries, not attempted entries, social-media activity, arrests, deaths, confrontations, or the Spanish government declaring an emergency.