Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 14:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
KalshiFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918
- Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the general gist of the post, not on whether every single prediction is correct.
- Individual incorrect predictions will not necessarily cause the market to resolve NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918