Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (58.7%)
Résolu: 11 août 2026, 03:59
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.7%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 jours
Obsolète11 août 26, 1:5211 août 26, 3:59
Tendances
58.7%
41.3%
Règles
Resolves YES if: Before January 1, 2027, any U.S. state imposes a legally binding, statewide moratorium or pause — lasting at least 3 months or indefinite — on either (a) permitting/approval of new hyperscale or AI data centers, or (b) new large-load data center interconnections to the electric grid.
- • Qualifying instruments: state statute (signed into law), governor’s executive order, or a binding public utility commission order applying to all major investor-owned utilities in the state.
- • “Statewide” = applies across the state or to substantially all new hyperscale development in it.
- County/municipal moratoria do NOT count regardless of how many exist.
- • Carve-outs (e.g., exempting projects already permitted, or facilities under some MW threshold) are fine as long as the pause covers the bulk of prospective new hyperscale capacity.
- • Does NOT count: suspension of tax incentives alone, study commissions without a binding pause, voluntary utility pauses on connection requests, or bills passed by one chamber.
