Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78.8%
Prévisionnistes
58
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 53 minutes
En retard22 déc. 22, 01:22 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
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Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
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PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRègles
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
