Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 23, 22:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
PolymarketKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRègles
António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).
- The General-Secretary is selected for five-year terms, with the next selection to take place in 2026.
- To become General-Secretary, a candidate must be nominated by a UN member state, recommended by the UN Security Council (receiving 9 out of 15 votes and no vetoes by the permament members), and voted in by a majority in the UN General Assembly.
- Guterres was selected as General-Secretary in 2016 after six straw polls on the UN Security Council.
- Guterres was nominated again in 2021 and was the only official candidate, being recommended unanimously by the UN Security Council and acclaimed by the UN General Assembly.
- Will Guterres be selected to serve a third term as UN General-Secretary?