Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.7%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 juil. 24, 06:08 UTC22 janv. 01, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if one person is the President of the United States for more than 2,922 days since the ratification of the 22nd Amendment on 21 March 1947.
- This market resolves NO if the YES criteria are not met before two days after Inauguration Day in 2101 (22 January 2101).
- Franklin D. Roosevelt holds the record for most time in office as the President of the United States.
- Roosevelt held the office for three full terms and died in 1945, only a few months into his fourth term.
- He spent a total of 4,422 days in office, putting him in 1st place.
- As of market creation on 3 July 2024, twelve presidents were tied for 2nd place, each having served for exactly 2,922 days.
