Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.9%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète31 janv. 24, 18:31 UTC31 déc. 34, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
For this prediction, an eco-terrorism attack is defined as a violent act carried out with the primary intent of promoting environmentalist objectives.
- This question aims to predict if such an attack leading to the death of more than ten people will occur before the end of December 31, 2034.
- The act should either be publicly declared as eco-terrorism by the individuals or group responsible, or it should be designated as such by a recognized authority.
- A "significant loss of life" is specified as the immediate or within one month demise of more than ten individuals directly impacted by the attack.
- The location of the act is not restricted, meaning it can occur anywhere in the world.
- At least two news agencies with a solid reputation for factual reporting must confirm the incident.
