Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 23, 00:54 UTC22 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).
- If he doesn't stop before his death then this resolves to NO.
- Clarification on possible cases (11/29/23):
- Honnold says in an interview or on social media or anywhere public that he will no longer free solo and he does not free solo for at least a month afterwards: YES
- Honnold stops free soloing for strictly more than one year without having expressly commented on his plans or committed to another major project: YES.
- If he does not solo for a year but says he hasn’t decided to stop, this is insufficient for a resolution.
Marchés ouverts
Sports
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- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
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- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? doit être résolu le 22 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).