Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
One-OffPolitiqueEspacePolitique américaineÉlection
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.9%
Prévisionnistes
82
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète16 mars 24, 18:06 UTC21 janv. 49, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first woman president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiRègles
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on Mars or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving Mars or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to Mars or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related market: @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-the-moon-befor
