Will a top 5 US fast-food chain launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally by end of 2027?
One-OffEntreprises et affaires1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard29 juil. 26, 16:17 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any of the top US fast-food chains launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Eligible Chains: For clarity and to avoid debates over shifting industry rankings or whether coffee shops qualify, a "top US fast-food chain" is defined as any of the top 5 quick-service restaurant chains by U.S. systemwide sales: McDonald’s, Starbucks, Chick-fil-A, Taco Bell, or Wendy's.
- "Launch nationally": The chain must add the item to its permanent or limited-time promotional menu at a supermajority (at least 80%) of its corporate and franchised locations across the United States.
- Regional tests, single-market pilots, or items exclusive to spinoff concepts (e.g., CosMc's) do not qualify.