Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.5%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète24 juin 24, 17:44 UTC31 déc. 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Historical data shows that eight U.S. Presidents have died in office, with the last occurrence in 1963.
- But will there be more before the end of 2050? It doesn't matter how he or she dies, only if she does.
- So natural death and things like assassinations count.
- The question will resolve YES if a president of the USA actually dies while serving a term before the end of 2050 and it resolves NO if it doesn't happen by then.
