Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a plan to connect Edinburgh to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2045? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 58.2% au 31 octobre 2026.

Will a plan to connect Edinburgh to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2045?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 58.2%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

1 mai 23, 08:19 UTC1 janv. 45, 15:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

'Approved' here means that a bill was passed in the UK Parliament, similar to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017

'High-speed' is here arbitrarily defined as trains travelling over 250km/h (to capture the difference between current fast rail in the UK and planned/operational high-speed rail, ie HS1 and HS2 phase 1.
Notice that by this definition domestic services on HS1 are not high-speed)