Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.7%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète14 mai 26, 19:21 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
# Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom by Jan. 20, 2031?
- This market is about the “Trump ballroom” discussed on Politix: a Trump-built or Trump-initiated ballroom / large event hall on White House grounds, associated with demolition or replacement of part of the East Wing.
- The underlying question is whether, if Democrats regain the presidency in 2028, the next Democratic administration will physically act to tear down the ballroom as a political/institutional repudiation, rather than merely renovate, rename, or de-Trumpify it.
- ## Resolution
- This market resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on Jan. 20, 2031, a Democratic presidential administration has begun physical demolition or removal of the above-ground Trump ballroom / event-hall structure.
- “Demolition” means either:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : # Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom by Jan. 20, 2031?