Will a 2028 U.S. Presidential Candidate Be Interviewed by an AI Before 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffIAPolitique américaineÉlection1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.6%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète12 oct. 26, 17:31 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2028, an officially declared candidate for president of the United States participates in a publicly released interview conducted substantially by an artificial intelligence system rather than a human interviewer.
- It resolves NO if no qualifying interview occurs by December 31, 2027.
- Resolution criteria
- A qualifying interview must meet all of the following conditions:
- Presidential candidate: The interviewee must have publicly declared a genuine candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election at the time of the interview.
- Republican, Democratic, independent, and third-party candidates qualify.
