Who will win the 2026 Oakland City Council District 2 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection13j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNate Adams 50.8%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+10.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 oct. 26, 22:48 UTC10 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the winner of the Oakland City Council District 2 election held on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on reputable media reporting and/or concession by the losing candidate(s), or finally by the results certified by the Alameda County Registrar of Voters or the City of Oakland's official election certification.
- If an unlisted candidate wins the election, the market will resolve to "Other" (or equivalent unlisted option).
- Oakland City Council District 2 includes neighborhoods surrounding Lake Merritt, Chinatown, and parts of East Oakland.
- Incumbent Councilmember the named outcome first won the seat in a 2025 special election to complete the remainder of Nikki Fortunato Bas's term after Bas was elected to the Alameda County Board of Supervisors.
