Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will I vote for in the next British General Election? ?

Manifold Markets cote The Greens à 34.8% au 28 octobre 2026.

Quand Who will I vote for in the next British General Election? sera-t-il résolu ?

Who will I vote for in the next British General Election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

The Greens 34.8%

En tête parmi 7 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

0.0 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

9 nov. 25, 14:17 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

This market resolves based on which party I vote for in the 2029 British General Election.

The election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029.
If I do not vote or are unable to vote, the market resolves N/A
I've just turned 17, and live in the UK, meaning the 2029 General Election will be the first general election where I am eligible to vote.
I will not bet on this market.
Update 2025-11-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the general election happens earlier than 2029, the market will resolve based on how the creator votes in that next general election (provided they have turned 18 by then).