Prévision communautaire actuelle
Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) 82.1%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+8.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
11 févr. 24, 9:3819 sept. 26, 21:59
Tendances
Règles
Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.
- This market closes one week after the election, and very likely before a new government has formed.
- This market could close sooner if a successful vote of no confidence occurs then this is closed a week after the vote.
- In the unlikely event no new government is formed after a vote of no confidence or election and a new election is called then this market will open again (if that's possible?) and close again one week after the new election.
- This market will resolve Yes for the one party that successfully leads the formation of a new Swedish government, and No on all others (including parties that become part of a coalition government).
- To be more precise it resolves Yes for the party that a newly elected Prime Minister is member of.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) à 82% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? doit être résolu le 19 septembre 2026.
- Comment Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.