Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleLabour 51.2%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 août 25, 10:18 UTC31 mai 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the Labour candidate for the next London mayoral election (scheduled 2028)?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Labour candidate for the next London mayoral election (scheduled 2028), will they become mayor?
Manifold Markets2028 London mayoral election winner?
KalshiLondon, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketWaratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketRevelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the party affiliation of the London mayor after the next election (scheduled for May 2028)
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Labour à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2028.
- Comment Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the party affiliation of the London mayor after the next election (scheduled for May 2028)