Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 6th District?
0.6 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRepublican Party 92.1%-0.6ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 oct. 26, 05:55 UTC13 déc. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill Cleo Fields win the Louisiana 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Christian Johnson win the Louisiana 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 6th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 open U.S. Representative primary if a candidate wins a majority of the votes; otherwise the December 12, 2026 open general election between the top two, whatever their parties (Act 7 of 2026; Louisiana SOS calendar).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by the named outcome or the named outcome who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
