Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
PolitiqueIAGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIran 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 janv. 26, 04:17 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
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FutuurRègles
Market Description
- This market resolves based on whether the US conducts military operations in the listed countries between now and January 20th, 2029.
- The question was created following the January 3, 2026 US military operation in Venezuela that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.
- For Venezuela specifically, only additional military operations beyond the January 2026 operation count toward resolution.
- This market focuses on significant new military interventions rather than routine expansions of existing commitments.
- The intent is to capture unprecedented, possibly unilateral action by the US, not proxy operations conducted through local forces.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Iran à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029? doit être résolu le 19 janvier 2029.
- Comment Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market Description