Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleManifold Logo 74.9%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 26, 23:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsMANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?
Manifold MarketsDutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3
KalshiWhich will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030?
Manifold MarketsDutch Bros same-shop sales growth in fiscal 2026
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRègles
Counting number of purchases:
- #1 resolves YES
- #2 resolves 80%
- #3 resolves 50%
- All others resolve NO
- The stats page shows ~monthly details.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Manifold Logo à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Counting number of purchases: