Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2030 94.5%+12.2ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+12.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète12 nov. 25, 12:20 UTC2 févr. 30, 12:12 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee come to Nintendo Switch Online before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released?
Manifold MarketsWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
PolymarketWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.
- This is a cumulative market, and each answer resolves independently, so e.g. if it releases in 2028 sometime, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve NO, and the others will resolve Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2030 à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? doit être résolu le 2 février 2030.
- Comment When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.