Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will I be able to use Polymarket in the US? ?

Manifold Markets cote Before 2028-01-01 à 69.2% au 29 octobre 2026.

Quand When will I be able to use Polymarket in the US? sera-t-il résolu ?

When will I be able to use Polymarket in the US? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Before 2028-01-01 69.2%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

0.0 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

11 mars 26, 10:46 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES when I can access Polymarket's U.S. platform beyond the current invite-only waitlist and begin trading without restrictions.
Resolution requires: (1) completing KYC verification and using approved brokers rather than direct crypto wallet access, and (2) ability to trade on markets in my state without legal blocks.
Check Polymarket's official website (polymarket.com) and your state's regulatory status for confirmation.
Polymarket is not fully available in all 50 states, with ongoing legal pushback in states like Tennessee and Nevada.
Polymarket acquired QCEX in July 2025 and the CFTC formally granted the company permission to re-enter the U.S. in September after a three-year ban for operating without proper registration.