What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
1.9 pts (24h)One-OffAwards1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAnnounced before the end of October 2026 92.4%+1.9ptEn tête parmi 20 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
14 oct. 25, 03:26 UTC2 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiWhen will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRègles
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_laureates_in_Literature
- As of 2023 the Nobel Prize in Literature has been awarded to 120 individuals.
- There have been four instances in which the award was given to two people (1904, 1917, 1966, 1974).
- Seventeen women have been awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature, the second highest number of any of the Nobel Prizes behind the Peace Prize.
- As of 2023, there have been 29 English-speaking winners, followed by French with 16 laureates and German with 14 laureates.
- France is the country with the highest number of winners for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
