Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 36.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète25 avr. 26, 15:13 UTC7 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be President on Election Day 2028? (Add answers.)
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the elected US president in 2028? (ADD ANSWERS)
Manifold MarketsWill any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRègles
The market resolves to whichever third party receives the most electoral votes, and if that is a tie, whichever party receives highest percentage of the popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Results will be determined by official FEC data and major news outlets reporting final vote tallies.
- If a party changes its name but stays basically the same party, it will be considered the same party.
- If someone runs as an Independent, they can be added to this list.