Wave height of 10.0 ft or higher will be recorded off the San Mateo Coast (Pacifica/Half Moon Bay) by November 15, 2026.
One-OffWeather2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 août 26, 03:35 UTC14 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between the market's creation and November 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT), a significant wave height of 10.0 feet (3.05 meters) or higher is recorded off the San Mateo Coast.
- The primary source of truth is NOAA NDBC Station 46012 (Half Moon Bay, CA), located at 37.356 N, 122.881 W. Source URL: NDBC Station 46012 Real Time Data
- Metric: "Significant Wave Height" (WVHT) must register at least 10.0 ft (when toggled to English units) or at least 3.05 meters (on the metric display) in any hourly or sub-hourly reading.
- Fallback and Edge Cases:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wave height of 10.0 ft or higher will be recorded off the San Mateo Coast (Pacifica/Half Moon Bay) by November 15, 2026. ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Wave height of 10.0 ft or higher will be recorded off the San Mateo Coast (Pacifica/Half Moon Bay) by November 15, 2026. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wave height of 10.0 ft or higher will be recorded off the San Mateo Coast (Pacifica/Half Moon Bay) by November 15, 2026. doit être résolu le 14 novembre 2026.
- Comment Wave height of 10.0 ft or higher will be recorded off the San Mateo Coast (Pacifica/Half Moon Bay) by November 15, 2026. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria