Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 25, 13:07 UTC9 déc. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold Markets"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Manifold MarketsTrump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to YES if Trump is US President for one day in 2030z
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- Resolves to NO if he passes away before 2030.
