Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (99%)
Résolu: 13 oct. 2026, 22:44
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 14 oct. 2026, 19:21 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes99%
No1%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRègles
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Social Democrats will win the most seats in Sweden's election" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
