Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleCrypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions 49.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard2 sept. 26, 18:26 UTC2 sept. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Indian mutual funds' investment in silver ETFs exceed a 5% increase on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Indian mutual funds' investment in silver ETFs exceed a 7% increase on March 2, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRègles
Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.
- Fine prints:
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule lowers the existing leverage cap under Rule 18f-4, restricts or bans single-stock strategies, or imposes new investor-eligibility requirements specific to them.
- Current 18f-4 limits staying in place resolves NO.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule would lengthen the current 60/75-day automatic approval window for any ETFs, or let the SEC pause a launch on its own initiative.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule, or a Commission statement/interpretive release, specifically restricts or imposes extra conditions on ETFs whose principal strategy is holding crypto assets.
