President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justice6j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète10 févr. 26, 03:59 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
KalshiWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsGhislaine Maxwell makes it to the deposition?
Manifold MarketsWill Ghislaine Maxwell be murdered by 2027-01-01?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump grants clemency (pardon, commutation, or reprieve) to Ghislaine Maxwell before November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Department of Justice.
- The market resolves NO if no clemency is granted by the deadline.
- Maxwell is serving a 20-year prison sentence for federal sex-trafficking charges for her role in sexually exploiting and abusing minors with Epstein.
- In February 2026, Maxwell declined to answer questions from House lawmakers in a deposition but indicated that if President Trump ended her prison sentence, she was willing to testify that neither Trump nor former President Bill Clinton had done anything wrong in their connections with Epstein.