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Cryptomania 66.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 24, 04:53 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
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Règles
Russell Impagliazzo's A Personal Viewof Average-Case Complexity, presented at the 1995 Complexity Conference, describes five possible worlds and their implications to computer science:
- Algorithmica: P = NP or something "morally equivalent" like fast probabilistic algorithms for NP.
- This was the world I described last week but looking back at Impagliazzo's paper, he does a nicer job.
- Heuristica: NP problems are hard in the worst case but easy on average.
- Pessiland: NP problems hard on average but no one-way functions exist.
- We can easily create hard NP problems, but not hard NP problems where we know the solution.
Marchés ouverts
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Carlos Alcaraz59.5%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt40.5%
- Volume total
- 459,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,4 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.2pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 415,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 415,1 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Jpegenav
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- BTC 15 min · $78,917.56 target
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour P vs NP. Which of Impagliazzo's Five Worlds is true? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Cryptomania à 67% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand P vs NP. Which of Impagliazzo's Five Worlds is true? sera-t-il résolu ?
- P vs NP. Which of Impagliazzo's Five Worlds is true? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 3000.
- Comment P vs NP. Which of Impagliazzo's Five Worlds is true? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Russell Impagliazzo's A Personal Viewof Average-Case Complexity, presented at the 1995 Complexity Conference, describes five possible worlds and their implications to computer science: