OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
EquitiesOne-OffIATechBusiness & Corporate3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète26 déc. 24, 01:16 UTC2 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Market resolves YES if:
- (A) OpenAI conducts a tender offer between 2025-01-01 and 2027-01-01, OR
- (B) employees are allowed to convert their PPUs to cash by some other mechanism (e.g., some magic happening if OpenAI goes public; this would, as one particular case, include employee PPUs getting converted into shares tradeable on the public market),
- the conversion rate is at least $20/unit.
- The "at least $20/unit" is there because I'm also interested in the question of "will OpenAI undergo some type of corporate existence failure" and "PPU value plumetted 90%" is a proxy.
- Resolution based on official company announcements or reliable financial news reporting.
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Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit? sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market resolves YES if: