OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
ActionsOne-OffIATechEntreprises et affaires2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 déc. 24, 01:16 UTC2 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Market resolves YES if:
- (A) OpenAI conducts a tender offer between 2025-01-01 and 2027-01-01, OR
- (B) employees are allowed to convert their PPUs to cash by some other mechanism (e.g., some magic happening if OpenAI goes public; this would, as one particular case, include employee PPUs getting converted into shares tradeable on the public market),
- the conversion rate is at least $20/unit.
- The "at least $20/unit" is there because I'm also interested in the question of "will OpenAI undergo some type of corporate existence failure" and "PPU value plumetted 90%" is a proxy.
- Resolution based on official company announcements or reliable financial news reporting.
