NFL Franchise Extreme Outcomes - Super Bowl Winner or Worst in the League
One-OffFootball américainSportBaseball
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSeattle Seahawks (Last Extreme - Super Bowl Winner 2013-2014) 100%En tête parmi 34 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète18 mars 25, 16:50 UTC1 mars 00, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
"You don't get to the moon by climbing a tree" - Sam Hinkie
- The goal of this market is to get a general sense of the direction franchises are headed - are they more likely given their makeup to win a super bowl? Or crash out the other direction and finish with the worst record.
- The extreme degree of parity in the NFL, mostly from a hard salary cap and draft mechanisms to promote parity, is what makes the football season so much fun (especially compared to the MLB and European sports that have much less strong mechanisms).
- Given this parity, how much can we actually project about the future of a franchise, in terms of extremes, from their current position? Only one team can win the super bowl or be the worst every year, so is there really that much of a spread? Bet and let's see.
- 17 NFL Franchises have more lately had the worst season of any team in the league than win the Super Bowl (if they've won it at all), 14 Franchises have more lately won the Super Bowl than finish with the worst season.
- The Vikings haven't done either in their history.
