Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 98%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 00:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NBA: 2026-27 MVP
PolymarketDoes Luka Doncic win an NBA MVP award by the end of the 2029-2030 NBA season
Manifold MarketsWill Victor Wembanyama win at least 4 NBA MVP awards by the time he retires?
Manifold MarketsDoes Victor Wembanyama win NBA MVP by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill an American player win NBA MVP before the start of the 2030-2031 NBA regular reason?
Manifold MarketsNBA: 2027 Champion
PolymarketRègles
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "The N.B.A. M.V.P. is an immigrant" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
