Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète17 mai 26, 01:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.