Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (99%)
Résolu: 10 août 2026, 04:18
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 jours
Obsolète23 déc. 25, 18:5710 août 26, 4:18
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Labour makes an official public statement ruling out forming a coalition government with New Zealand First for the 2026 election.
- This includes statements from Labour leadership (party leader, deputy leader, or official party spokesperson) explicitly stating they will not work with NZ First in coalition negotiations after the election.
- The market resolves NO if Labour does not make such a statement, or if Labour indicates openness to working with NZ First (including conditional openness or refusal to rule them out).
- Resolution will be determined by statements made prior to the 2026 election, scheduled for no later than 19 December 2026.
- Labour previously formed a minority coalition government with New Zealand First in 2017, with confidence and supply from the Green Party.
