Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète28 janv. 26, 06:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner: Engaged in 2026?
KalshiKylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
PolymarketWill Timothy Chalamet be revealed to be rapper EsDeeKid before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsJacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).
- A qualifying public engagement announcement includes any one of the following:
- A direct statement or post from either individual on a verified social media account explicitly confirming an engagement
- A joint public announcement (interview, red carpet statement, official spokesperson confirmation) clearly stating they are engaged
- Coverage by multiple major media outlets citing confirmation from the couple or their representatives
- The market will resolve to NO if no such confirmation occurs within the specified time window.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).
- Où Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Polymarket.