JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionIA10mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
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17
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète14 avr. 25, 18:51 UTC30 août 27, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican Nominee for president before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
