Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 56%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète2 mars 25, 01:06 UTC1 janv. 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
DeepSeek IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek v5 release before 2028
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.
- If, by January 1st 2100, there is no evidence for this, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolves as N/A. The NO and N/A resolutions cannot occur before January 1st 2100.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.3pt96%
- Yes+0.3pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 27°C+67.0pt83.3%
- 28°C+9.5pt13.5%
- 29°C+2.3pt3.1%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66.7%
- LPL (China)-0.5pt24.5%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.9%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt79.2%
- Puerto Rico-45.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5 k €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,8 k €
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- August Inflation China - Annual
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.