If Trump wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète11 mars 24, 03:49 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If Trump does not win the 2024 US presidential election, resolves N/A.
- Otherwise resolves No at the end of 2026.
- Authorities include police, national guard, or military, or any uniformed group that present themselves as responsible for maintaining law and order (or controlling protests/riots, etc), and are not contradicted in this by the administration.
- Must be reported in at least 2 major media outlets: CNN, Fox, BBC, NYT, WaPo, WSJ, The Guardian, the AP, or similar.
- This is intended to cover deaths during protests, riots, arrests, or other public confrontations, or from injuries sustained during those confrontations; not subsequent deaths while in custody.
