If Trump wins the 2024 U.S. election, will voters “not have to do it anymore”?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète24 août 24, 14:48 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Trump told the crowd to “get out and vote, just this time”, adding that “you won’t have to do it any more.”
- https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/30/donald-trump-wont-have-to-vote-anymore-fox-interview
- Resolves YES if Trump wins the 2024 election and there is no election in 2028 due to an authoritarian takeover of the U.S. government.
- If there is no election in 2028 due to other reasons, such as war (due to exogenous factors that are not related to any Trump-related takeover) or natural disaster or act of god, this question resolves NA.
- Otherwise this question resolves NO.
