Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBenjamin Netanyahu (halikood) 61.6%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+44.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète27 oct. 26, 19:31 UTC3 nov. 26, 19:26 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market is configured as a binary (Yes/No) question, but does not name a specific party, candidate, or threshold (e.g., whether Likud wins the most seats, or whether Benjamin Netanyahu forms the next government).
- By default, this market will resolve according to the candidate or condition explicitly designated by the market creator.
- If left unspecified:
- YES: The incumbent prime minister's party (Likud) wins the plurality of seats in the Knesset elected on October 27, 2026, according to the official results certified by the Central Elections Committee (CEC).
- NO: Any other political party wins a plurality of seats, or there is an exact tie for the largest share of seats.
