Ce marché s'est résolu: 14 or more (99%)
Résolu: 30 juin 2026, 11:21
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
14 or more
À 7 jours
64%
À 24 heures
99%
ConsensusPrévision communautaire actuelle14 or more 99%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 jours
Obsolète18 mai 26, 16:0430 juin 26, 11:21
Chronologie des Probabilités
8 or fewer0.6%
90.6%
100.7%
110.9%
122.6%
130.2%
14 or more76.8%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· 14 or more
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Fermés
Résolu
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 résultats de plus
38 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenne
Volume total2,4 M €
Volume 24h645,2 k €
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsFermés
Résolu
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
25 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total48,8 k €
Volume 24h3,8 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.