How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail?
PolitiqueManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 7 - 29 nights (<1 month)
Résolu: 10 nov. 2025, 16:42
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Prévision communautaire actuelle7 - 29 nights (<1 month) 100%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 165 jours
Obsolète2 oct. 25, 23:0310 nov. 25, 16:42
Chronologie des Probabilités
0 nights0%
1 night0%
2 - 6 nights (<1 week)0%
7 - 29 nights (<1 month)100%
30 - 364 nights (1 - 11 months)0%
1 - 2 years0%
More than 2 years0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
On September 25, 2025, former French President Nicolas Sarkozy was sentenced to 5 years in prison for criminal conspiracy in the Libyan campaign financing case.
- The court issued a deferred detention order with provisional execution, meaning he will be imprisoned despite his appeal.
- He is scheduled to appear before prosecutors on October 13, 2025 to receive his incarceration date (which must occur by February 13, 2026 at the latest).
- Once imprisoned, he can request release pending appeal, with courts having 2 months to decide.
- Key sources:
- - [CNN: Sarkozy sentenced to 5 years](https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/25/europe/sarkozy-trial-libya-verdict-intl)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 7 - 29 nights (<1 month) à 100% au 9 mars 2026.
- Quand How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail? doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2025.
- Comment How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On September 25, 2025, former French President Nicolas Sarkozy was sentenced to 5 years in prison for criminal conspiracy in the Libyan campaign financing case.