Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBelow 1:59:30 28.8%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 05:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Manifold MarketsWill the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsWho will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?
Manifold MarketsMLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays (Oct 27, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Nbagame 26 OCT 27 Detnyk
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.
- Ratification can happen after the end of 2026 as long as the race itself was held before the end of 2026.
- This is a cumulative probability market, meaning all applicable answers will resolve YES, so e.g. if the WR stands at 1:59:15, both "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve YES.
