Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBelow 1:59:30 59.7%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 05:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Manifold MarketsWill the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
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Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRègles
The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.
- Ratification can happen after the end of 2026 as long as the race itself was held before the end of 2026.
- This is a cumulative probability market, meaning all applicable answers will resolve YES, so e.g. if the WR stands at 1:59:15, both "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve YES.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Below 1:59:30 à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.