Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAbove $87,500.00 21%-30.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-20.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
9 oct. 26, 09:46 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcmaxmon/bitcoin-monthly-one-touch/kxbtcmaxmon-btc-26oct31
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever above $ 87500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
- RESOLVES TO KALSHI, PLEASE DONT ASSUME BECAUSE IT PASSED ON YOUR SOURCE, THAT IT IS CORRECT.
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC.
- For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.